TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 8Saturday 24 October · 17:00 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli8th place
Full time3-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Roma3rd place
NAP 36%X 29%ROM 35%

What does the market say?

NapoliDrawRomaRinvalo36%29%35%
Market34%28%38%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Napoli 36%, market Roma 38%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Napoli score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Napoli win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.78X29%3.47235%2.84
Double chance
1X65%1.54X264%1.561271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Roma3-3 probability 0.8% · final score

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Napoli – Roma24 October 20263-3
Napoli – Roma15 February 20262-2
Roma – Napoli30 November 20250-1
Roma – Napoli2 February 20251-1
Napoli – Roma24 November 20241-0
Napoli – Roma28 April 20242-2