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Serie A · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Como4th place
CAG 17%X 23%COM 60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 224 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Cagliari 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Cagliari -0.6.
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 46% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.8
Over 2.549%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.84X23%4.35260%1.67
Double chance
1X40%2.50X283%1.211277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Como0-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Cagliari – Como7 March 20261-2
Como – Cagliari8 November 20250-0
Como – Cagliari10 May 20253-1
Cagliari – Como26 August 20241-1