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Serie A · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Frosinone6th place
VEN 31%X 23%FRO 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Frosinone lead by 188 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.8
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.21X23%4.26245%2.20
Double chance
1X55%1.83X269%1.451277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Frosinone1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

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Head to head

Frosinone – Venezia6 September 20263-2