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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Genoa11th place
JUV 63%X 23%GEN 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 118 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Genoa -0.4.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.543%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X23%4.26213%7.46
Double chance
1X87%1.15X237%2.711277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.543%2.34Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes40%2.49BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Genoa1-0 probability 15.2%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Juventus28 October 20262-0
Juventus – Genoa6 April 20262-0
Genoa – Juventus31 August 20250-1
Juventus – Genoa29 March 20251-0
Genoa – Juventus28 September 20240-3
Juventus – Genoa17 March 20240-0