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Serie A · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
PAR 9%X 16%INT 75%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 314 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Parma -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • If Parma score first, they win 31% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 90% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.3
Over 2.557%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
19%10.93X16%6.20275%1.34
Double chance
1X25%3.96X291%1.101284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes44%2.27BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Inter0-2 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Parma10 October 20263-0
Inter – Parma3 May 20262-0
Parma – Inter7 January 20260-2
Parma – Inter5 April 20252-2
Inter – Parma6 December 20243-1