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Serie A · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Torino10th place
MIL 60%X 24%TOR 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Milan lead by 142 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Milan 0.5, Torino -0.3.
  • If Milan score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.553%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Milan win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X24%4.19216%6.24
Double chance
1X84%1.19X240%2.511276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Milan · Columns: Torino1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

Compare →
MilanDWWLW
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Milan23 August 20261-2
Milan – Torino21 March 20263-2
Torino – Milan8 December 20252-3
Torino – Milan22 February 20252-1
Milan – Torino17 August 20242-2
Torino – Milan18 May 20243-1