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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Venezia20th place
CAG 50%X 27%VEN 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Cagliari lead by 105 rating points.
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.542%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cagliari win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%1.99X27%3.69223%4.43
Double chance
1X77%1.29X250%2.011273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.542%2.41Under 2.558%1.71BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Venezia1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Cagliari – Venezia18 May 20253-0
Venezia – Cagliari22 December 20242-1
Venezia – Cagliari22 May 20220-0
Cagliari – Venezia1 October 20211-1