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Serie A · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Sassuolo15th place
LEC 35%X 28%SAS 37%

Prediction

  • If Lecce score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Sassuolo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.87X28%3.58237%2.68
Double chance
1X63%1.59X265%1.531272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.94BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Sassuolo1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Sassuolo – Lecce17 May 20262-3
Lecce – Sassuolo18 October 20250-0
Sassuolo – Lecce21 April 20240-3
Lecce – Sassuolo6 October 20231-1
Lecce – Sassuolo25 February 20230-1
Sassuolo – Lecce20 August 20221-0