TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Bologna9th place
COM 55%X 26%BOL 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 119 rating points.
  • Como take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Como score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.80X26%3.86219%5.36
Double chance
1X81%1.23X245%2.251274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Bologna1-0 probability 12.6%
ComoDWWWW
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Como – Bologna10 January 20261-1
Bologna – Como30 August 20251-0
Bologna – Como1 February 20252-0
Como – Bologna14 September 20242-2