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Serie A · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Fiorentina17th place
PAR 31%X 29%FIO 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fiorentina -0.1, Parma -0.7.
  • If Parma score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Fiorentina win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.23X29%3.40240%2.52
Double chance
1X60%1.66X269%1.451271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.50Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Fiorentina1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Fiorentina – Parma8 March 20260-0
Parma – Fiorentina27 December 20251-0
Fiorentina – Parma13 April 20250-0
Parma – Fiorentina17 August 20241-1