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Serie A · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Frosinone6th place
UDI 37%X 25%FRO 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • Frosinone lead by 96 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Frosinone -0.4, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.7
Over 2.567%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X25%4.03238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.61X263%1.591275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.02BTTS yes68%1.47BTTS no32%3.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Frosinone1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Frosinone – Udinese26 May 20240-1
Udinese – Frosinone2 September 20230-0