TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Torino10th place
INT 78%X 15%TOR 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 247 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Torino -0.3.
  • Inter take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Inter score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 27% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.8
Over 2.568%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
178%1.29X15%6.5327%13.95
Double chance
1X93%1.08X222%4.451285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.11BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Torino2-0 probability 11.2%
InterWWWWL
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Inter26 April 20262-2
Inter – Torino25 August 20255-0
Torino – Inter11 May 20250-2
Inter – Torino5 October 20243-2
Inter – Torino28 April 20242-0
Torino – Inter21 October 20230-3