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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 15Sunday 13 December · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Monza16th place
JUV 73%X 18%MON 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 235 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Monza 0.1.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.8
Over 2.561%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.38X18%5.4829%10.95
Double chance
1X91%1.10X227%3.651282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.561%1.64Under 2.539%2.57BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Monza2-0 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Juventus – Monza27 April 20252-0
Monza – Juventus22 December 20241-2
Juventus – Monza25 May 20242-0
Monza – Juventus1 December 20231-2
Juventus – Monza29 January 20230-2
Monza – Juventus18 September 20221-0