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Serie A · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Fiorentina17th place
COM 65%X 22%FIO 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 210 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Fiorentina 0.4.
  • Como take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Como score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.550%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X22%4.56213%7.95
Double chance
1X87%1.14X235%2.901278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.550%1.98Under 2.550%2.02BTTS yes45%2.20BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Fiorentina2-0 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Fiorentina – Como18 October 20261-3
Como – Fiorentina14 February 20261-2
Fiorentina – Como21 September 20251-2
Fiorentina – Como16 February 20250-2
Como – Fiorentina24 November 20240-2