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Serie A · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 17:30 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
GEN 13%X 20%INT 67%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 249 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Genoa -0.4.
  • Inter take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Genoa score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.2
Over 2.559%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.58X20%5.09267%1.49
Double chance
1X33%3.04X287%1.151280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.43BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Inter0-2 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Genoa28 February 20262-0
Genoa – Inter14 December 20251-2
Inter – Genoa22 February 20251-0
Genoa – Inter17 August 20242-2
Inter – Genoa4 March 20242-1
Genoa – Inter29 December 20231-1