TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Juventus7th place
TOR 20%X 25%JUV 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 116 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Torino -0.3.
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Torino score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%4.94X25%3.96254%1.84
Double chance
1X46%2.20X280%1.251275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 12.4%
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Juventus24 May 20262-2
Juventus – Torino8 November 20250-0
Torino – Juventus11 January 20251-1
Juventus – Torino9 November 20242-0
Torino – Juventus13 April 20240-0
Juventus – Torino7 October 20232-0