TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Parma18th place
VEN 36%X 30%PAR 34%

Prediction

  • If Venezia score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.536%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Venezia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.76X30%3.36234%2.93
Double chance
1X66%1.52X264%1.571270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.536%2.75Under 2.564%1.57BTTS yes44%2.26BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Parma1-1 probability 14.4%
VeneziaLWLLL
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Parma – Venezia19 January 20251-1
Venezia – Parma9 November 20241-2