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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 30Sunday 4 April · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Lazio1st place
LEC 18%X 24%LAZ 58%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 230 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • Lazio take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Lecce score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Lazio score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.7
Over 2.547%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.52X24%4.19258%1.72
Double chance
1X42%2.38X282%1.221276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes48%2.10BTTS no52%1.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Lazio0-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL
LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Lecce – Lazio24 January 20260-0
Lazio – Lecce23 November 20252-0
Lazio – Lecce25 May 20250-1
Lecce – Lazio21 December 20241-2
Lazio – Lecce14 January 20241-0
Lecce – Lazio20 August 20232-1