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Serie A · Matchday 13Sunday 29 November · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Juventus7th place
COM 40%X 30%JUV 30%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 73 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Juventus 1.4.
  • Como take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Como score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X30%3.36230%3.30
Double chance
1X70%1.43X260%1.671270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.48Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Juventus – Como21 February 20260-2
Como – Juventus19 October 20252-0
Como – Juventus7 February 20251-2
Juventus – Como19 August 20243-0