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Serie A · Matchday 13Sunday 29 November · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Genoa11th place
INT 76%X 16%GEN 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 249 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Genoa -0.4.
  • Inter take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Inter score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.7
Over 2.561%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.31X16%6.1527%13.39
Double chance
1X93%1.08X224%4.221284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.55BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Genoa2-0 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Inter – Genoa28 February 20262-0
Genoa – Inter14 December 20251-2
Inter – Genoa22 February 20251-0
Genoa – Inter17 August 20242-2
Inter – Genoa4 March 20242-1
Genoa – Inter29 December 20231-1