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Serie A · Matchday 13Sunday 29 November · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Parma18th place
FRO 55%X 25%PAR 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Frosinone lead by 115 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.83X25%4.02220%4.91
Double chance
1X80%1.26X245%2.211275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Parma1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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