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Serie A · Matchday 13Sunday 29 November · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Fiorentina17th place
UDI 36%X 28%FIO 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fiorentina -0.1, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.3
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Fiorentina win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.79X28%3.57236%2.76
Double chance
1X64%1.57X264%1.561272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Fiorentina1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Udinese – Fiorentina2 March 20263-0
Fiorentina – Udinese21 December 20255-1
Udinese – Fiorentina25 May 20252-3
Fiorentina – Udinese23 December 20241-2
Fiorentina – Udinese14 January 20242-2
Udinese – Fiorentina24 September 20230-2