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Serie A · Matchday 13Sunday 29 November · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Bologna9th place
VEN 21%X 25%BOL 55%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bologna lead by 210 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bologna 2.4 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • Bologna take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.6
Over 2.547%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.84X25%4.06255%1.83
Double chance
1X45%2.21X279%1.261275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Bologna1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Venezia – Bologna29 March 20250-1
Bologna – Venezia30 November 20243-0
Venezia – Bologna8 May 20224-3
Bologna – Venezia21 November 20210-1