TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 13Sunday 29 November · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Lazio1st place
TOR 23%X 26%LAZ 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 163 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Torino 1.8.
  • Lazio take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Torino score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Lazio score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.550%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Lazio win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.33X26%3.84251%1.96
Double chance
1X49%2.04X277%1.301274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Lazio1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL
LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Torino – Lazio1 March 20262-0
Lazio – Torino4 October 20253-3
Lazio – Torino31 March 20251-1
Torino – Lazio29 September 20242-3
Torino – Lazio22 February 20240-2
Lazio – Torino27 September 20232-0