TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Torino10th place
COM 66%X 21%TOR 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 189 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Torino -0.3.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Torino 1.8.
  • If Como score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.551%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X21%4.67212%8.22
Double chance
1X88%1.14X234%2.981279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Torino2-0 probability 13.1%
ComoDWWWW
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Como27 October 20261-3
Como – Torino24 January 20266-0
Torino – Como24 November 20251-5
Como – Torino13 April 20251-0
Torino – Como25 October 20241-0