TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Frosinone6th place
LEC 34%X 25%FRO 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Frosinone lead by 116 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • If Lecce score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.561%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.93X25%4.00241%2.45
Double chance
1X59%1.69X266%1.521275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.58BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Frosinone1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Frosinone – Lecce29 October 20265-1
Frosinone – Lecce3 March 20241-1
Lecce – Frosinone16 December 20232-1