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Serie A · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Parma18th place
UDI 44%X 29%PAR 27%

Prediction

  • If Udinese score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.539%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Udinese win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X29%3.43227%3.74
Double chance
1X73%1.37X256%1.791271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.539%2.54Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Parma1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Parma – Udinese28 October 20260-0
Udinese – Parma18 April 20260-1
Parma – Udinese29 November 20250-2
Udinese – Parma1 March 20251-0
Parma – Udinese16 September 20242-3