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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Roma3rd place
SAS 17%X 21%ROM 62%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 254 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Roma 2.2 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 0.9, Sassuolo -0.3.
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.2
Over 2.563%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.83X21%4.72262%1.62
Double chance
1X38%2.61X283%1.211279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Roma1-2 probability 9.9%

Form

Compare →
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Roma – Sassuolo10 January 20262-0
Sassuolo – Roma26 October 20250-1
Roma – Sassuolo17 March 20241-0
Sassuolo – Roma3 December 20231-2
Roma – Sassuolo12 March 20233-4
Sassuolo – Roma9 November 20221-1