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Serie A · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 17:30 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
FIO 13%X 19%INT 68%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 268 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Fiorentina 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Fiorentina -0.1.
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 36% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.4
Over 2.565%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
113%7.79X19%5.29268%1.46
Double chance
1X32%3.15X287%1.151281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.87BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fiorentina · Columns: Inter0-2 probability 10.0%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Fiorentina25 October 20262-1
Fiorentina – Inter22 March 20261-1
Inter – Fiorentina29 October 20253-0
Inter – Fiorentina10 February 20252-1
Fiorentina – Inter6 February 20253-0
Fiorentina – Inter28 January 20240-1