TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Cagliari12th place
VEN 32%X 28%CAG 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Cagliari lead by 105 rating points.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.542%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Cagliari win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.12X28%3.57240%2.50
Double chance
1X60%1.67X268%1.471272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.74BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Cagliari1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Cagliari – Venezia18 May 20253-0
Venezia – Cagliari22 December 20242-1
Venezia – Cagliari22 May 20220-0
Cagliari – Venezia1 October 20211-1