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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 25Sunday 21 February · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bologna9th place
JUV 53%X 27%BOL 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Bologna 0.1.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.544%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X27%3.74220%5.06
Double chance
1X80%1.25X247%2.151273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.544%2.30Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Bologna1-0 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Juventus – Bologna19 April 20262-0
Bologna – Juventus14 December 20250-1
Bologna – Juventus4 May 20251-1
Juventus – Bologna7 December 20242-2
Bologna – Juventus20 May 20243-3
Juventus – Bologna27 August 20231-1