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Premier League · Matchday 18Wednesday 30 December · 19:30 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Brentford6th place
COV 25%X 26%BRE 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 134 rating points.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.02X26%3.83249%2.04
Double chance
1X51%1.96X275%1.331274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

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