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Premier League · Matchday 18Wednesday 30 December · 20:15 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Chelsea4th place
IPS 22%X 24%CHE 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Chelsea lead by 165 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Chelsea 1.8 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Chelsea score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.2
Over 2.568%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.52X24%4.24254%1.84
Double chance
1X46%2.19X278%1.281276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.15BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Chelsea1-2 probability 9.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Chelsea – Ipswich Town13 April 20252-2
Ipswich Town – Chelsea30 December 20242-0