TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 18Tuesday 29 December · 19:30 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Leeds United12th place
HUL 29%X 29%LEE 42%

Prediction

  • If Hull City score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.51X29%3.42242%2.37
Double chance
1X58%1.73X271%1.401271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.540%2.51Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 14.0%

Head to head

Hull City – Leeds United4 January 20253-3
Leeds United – Hull City31 August 20242-0
Leeds United – Hull City1 April 20243-1
Hull City – Leeds United20 September 20230-0