TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 18Wednesday 30 December · 19:30 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Arsenal1st place
FUL 18%X 25%ARS 57%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 213 rating points.
  • Arsenal take 2.4 points per game away.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 0.9, Fulham 0.3.
  • If Fulham score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.6
Over 2.544%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.58X25%4.01257%1.75
Double chance
1X43%2.33X282%1.221275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Arsenal0-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →
FulhamDLWWD
ArsenalLWWWW

Head to head

Arsenal – Fulham2 May 20263-0
Fulham – Arsenal18 October 20250-1
Arsenal – Fulham1 April 20252-1
Fulham – Arsenal8 December 20241-1
Fulham – Arsenal31 December 20232-1
Arsenal – Fulham26 August 20232-2