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Premier League · Matchday 18Tuesday 29 December · 19:30 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Brighton3rd place
TOT 29%X 27%BHA 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 138 rating points.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Brighton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.42X27%3.70244%2.29
Double chance
1X56%1.78X271%1.411273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.87Under 2.546%2.15BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Brighton1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Brighton18 April 20262-2
Brighton – Tottenham20 September 20252-2
Tottenham – Brighton25 May 20251-4
Brighton – Tottenham6 October 20243-2
Tottenham – Brighton10 February 20242-1
Brighton – Tottenham28 December 20234-2