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Premier League · Matchday 17Sunday 27 December · 14:00 · The Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry City16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Chelsea4th place
COV 24%X 26%CHE 50%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Chelsea lead by 118 rating points.
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Chelsea score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Chelsea win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.10X26%3.89250%2.00
Double chance
1X50%2.00X276%1.321274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Coventry City · Columns: Chelsea1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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