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Premier League · Matchday 17Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Brentford6th place
IPS 23%X 24%BRE 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 181 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.3 – 2.0
Over 2.564%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.36X24%4.15253%1.89
Double chance
1X47%2.13X277%1.301276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.76BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.72

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Brentford10 May 20250-1
Brentford – Ipswich Town26 October 20244-3