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Premier League · Matchday 17Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Brighton3rd place
FUL 28%X 27%BHA 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 128 rating points.
  • If Fulham score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Brighton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.58X27%3.68245%2.23
Double chance
1X55%1.81X272%1.391273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Brighton1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Fulham – Brighton24 January 20262-1
Brighton – Fulham16 August 20251-1
Brighton – Fulham8 March 20252-1
Fulham – Brighton5 December 20243-1
Fulham – Brighton2 March 20243-0
Brighton – Fulham29 October 20231-1