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Premier League · Matchday 17Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Bournemouth8th place
TOT 32%X 28%BOU 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 90 rating points.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.17X28%3.56240%2.48
Double chance
1X60%1.68X268%1.461272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bournemouth – Tottenham7 January 20263-2
Tottenham – Bournemouth30 August 20250-1
Tottenham – Bournemouth9 March 20252-2
Bournemouth – Tottenham5 December 20241-0
Tottenham – Bournemouth31 December 20233-1
Bournemouth – Tottenham26 August 20230-2