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Premier League · Matchday 17Sunday 27 December · 16:30 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
MUN 46%X 27%NFO 26%

Prediction

  • If Manchester United score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X27%3.66226%3.78
Double chance
1X74%1.36X254%1.861273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

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Head to head

Manchester United – Nottingham Forest17 May 20263-2
Nottingham Forest – Manchester United1 November 20252-2
Nottingham Forest – Manchester United1 April 20251-0
Manchester United – Nottingham Forest7 December 20242-3
Nottingham Forest – Manchester United30 December 20232-1
Manchester United – Nottingham Forest26 August 20233-2