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Premier League · Matchday 17Saturday 26 December · 17:30 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Liverpool5th place
HUL 21%X 26%LIV 54%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 129 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Liverpool 1.8 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Liverpool 0.5, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 51% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.83X26%3.91254%1.86
Double chance
1X46%2.16X279%1.261274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Liverpool1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

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