TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 12Sunday 29 November · 14:05 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Hull City11th place
CRY 44%X 28%HUL 28%

Prediction

  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Hull City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Crystal Palace win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X28%3.56228%3.62
Double chance
1X72%1.38X256%1.801272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Hull City1-1 probability 13.6%