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Premier League · Matchday 12Saturday 28 November · 15:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Brentford6th place
MUN 46%X 26%BRE 28%

Prediction

  • If Manchester United score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.555%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X26%3.78228%3.62
Double chance
1X72%1.38X254%1.851274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.555%1.80Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Manchester United – Brentford27 April 20262-1
Brentford – Manchester United27 September 20253-1
Brentford – Manchester United4 May 20254-3
Manchester United – Brentford19 October 20242-1
Brentford – Manchester United30 March 20241-1
Manchester United – Brentford7 October 20232-1