TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 12Sunday 29 November · 14:05 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Bournemouth7th place
FUL 30%X 28%BOU 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 80 rating points.
  • If Fulham score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.31X28%3.53241%2.41
Double chance
1X59%1.71X270%1.431272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 13.4%

Head to head

Fulham – Bournemouth9 May 20260-1
Bournemouth – Fulham3 October 20253-1
Bournemouth – Fulham14 April 20251-0
Fulham – Bournemouth29 December 20242-2
Fulham – Bournemouth10 February 20243-1
Bournemouth – Fulham26 December 20233-0