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Premier League · Matchday 12Sunday 29 November · 14:05 · Stadium of Light
Sunderland20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Tottenham8th place
SUN 33%X 29%TOT 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Tottenham 2.0 points per game, Sunderland 0.2.
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Tottenham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.01X29%3.46238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.61X267%1.501271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.545%2.22Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sunderland · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Sunderland – Tottenham12 April 20261-0
Tottenham – Sunderland4 January 20261-1