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Premier League · Matchday 12Saturday 28 November · 15:00 · Elland Road
Leeds United11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Coventry City16th place
LEE 56%X 26%COV 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leeds United lead by 79 rating points.
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X26%3.89218%5.45
Double chance
1X82%1.23X244%2.271274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.547%2.11Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Coventry City1-0 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Coventry City – Leeds United5 February 20250-2
Leeds United – Coventry City28 September 20243-0
Coventry City – Leeds United6 April 20242-1
Leeds United – Coventry City16 December 20231-1