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Premier League · Matchday 30Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Tottenham8th place
EVE 39%X 29%TOT 32%

Prediction

  • If Everton score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.57X29%3.43232%3.14
Double chance
1X68%1.47X261%1.641271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Everton12 September 20260-0
Tottenham – Everton24 May 20261-0
Everton – Tottenham26 October 20250-3
Everton – Tottenham19 January 20253-2
Tottenham – Everton24 August 20244-0
Everton – Tottenham3 February 20242-2