TR
Picks
Premier League · Matchday 30Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
IPS 35%X 27%CRY 38%

Prediction

  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Crystal Palace win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.84X27%3.69238%2.65
Double chance
1X62%1.60X265%1.541273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Crystal Palace1-1 probability 12.0%

Head to head

Crystal Palace – Ipswich Town12 September 20262-3
Crystal Palace – Ipswich Town8 March 20251-0
Ipswich Town – Crystal Palace3 December 20240-1