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Premier League · Matchday 30Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Chelsea4th place
HUL 26%X 27%CHE 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Chelsea lead by 88 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Chelsea 1.8 points per game, Hull City 0.6.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Chelsea score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.6
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Chelsea win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.89X27%3.69247%2.12
Double chance
1X53%1.89X274%1.351273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Chelsea1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Chelsea – Hull City12 September 20262-2